Saturday, July 7, 2018

Donald Trump: The Statistics

Here are the Trump statistics. In four years we'll analyze than to determine how good he did as the 45th President of the United States.
  • December 2016: Since Trump was elected, consumer confidence jumped to 113.7, it's the highest level since 2001. This is a signal of how confident consumers are that Trump will fix the economy. 
  • December 2016: The Dow, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have all risen around 4% to 5% since the election. This has aptly been termed the Trump bump. The rally in U.S. shares continued as investors see Trump’s economic policies— tax reform, regulatory reform, and stimulus spending—as particularly good for business. This prompted Trump to tweet on December 27: "The world was gloomy before I won - there was no hope. Now the market is up nearly 10% and Christmas spending is over a trillion dollars!"
  • March 9, 2017.  Illegal border crossings decline 40% in Trumps first month in office. This is what happens when you actually enforce the laws already on the books. 
  • March 10, 2017: 152,528,000: Record Number of Employed in February; Participation Rate Rises
  • March 10, 2017: Amazing: US Debt Decreased by More Than $60 Billion Since Trump Inauguration
  • January 7, 2018: The black unemployment rate is under 7% for the first time ever. Tracking began in 1972, so it's the lowest black unemployment rate in recorded history. And it was not even mentioned by the media. This is a huge accomplishment in less than a year for Donald Trump, and not one mention of it in the media. 
  • January 10, 2018: As of today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and Nasdaq have had 75 record closes since Trump was elected. 
  • January 11, 2018: Voters perception of the economy at a record high. The Quinnipiac University poll showed 66% said the economy was excellent. This was the highest percentage since the poll began in 2001. 
  • January 11, 2018: Illegal immigration hits 45-year low under Trump.
  • January 18, 2018, Jobless claims lowest since 1973
  • January 18, 2018, Unemployment is 4.2%, lowest since 2001. It's poised to go even lower
  • January 19, 2018: Stock market 31% gain during Trump -- best since FDR; value grows by $6.9 trillion
  • June 3, 2018: Unemployment reaches 18 year low of 3.8%. Statistically, this is considered full employment. 4% is usually considered full employment. When you get that low, that 4% is considered to be the number of people who choose not to work. Or, this is is the percentage of people no one wants to hire. So, basically, we have full employment. 
  • June 3, 2018: The U.S. added 223,000 jobs in may. This is despite the prediction being 188,000 jobs for may. 
  • June 3, 2018: Manufacturers added 
  • In May, 6,000 new mining jobs, 18,000 new manufacturing jobs, 31,000 new retail jobs, and 25,000 new construction jobs. As a bonus, there are 24,000 fewer government jobs. 
  • June 3, 2018:  Black unemployment has hit another record low. It’s at 5.9%. This is awesome! It's the first time ever black unemployment is under 6%. 
  • The unemployment rate for men over 16 is 3.9%. It’s 3.6% for women. (All of this good economic news comes after Obama said our best days are behind us. 
  • Unlike the jobs added under the Obama economy, a vast majority of the jobs added in the last year and a half (as of June 2018) are full-time jobs.
  • Wages are also going up. 
  • Korean War is over. The leaders of North and South Korea shake hands.
  • June 20, 2018: Social Security Disability Benefit applications plunge as economy strengthens. This is a startling reversal of a decades old trend that threatened the solvency of the program. The decline is so significant that experts re figured their estimates on how long the program will remain solvent. They say it should now last until 2032. Two years ago it was estimated to run out of funds by 2023.
  • 95% of manufacturers bullish on future -- record optimism
  • Record 155,576,000 Employed in June; 10th Record for Trump
The funny thing is I started writing this on Trump's first day on Marh 10, 2017. Even back then I knew the economy was going to improve. I knew if capitalism were tried what would happen. 

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Myth: Trump Setting U.S. Up For Trade War

Democrats, the media, and liberals around the world. They keep talking about how Trump is going to incite a trade war if he continues to raise tariffs. But, it's hard for Trump to start a trade war when it started over 30 years ago.

So, Trump raises the steel tariff to 30%. Democrats see this as the beginning and the end. They are afraid other countries will get upset and raise tariffs for outgoing products.

But, this is said without looking at our history. You name your country. That country has a 30% tariff to our steel going into their country. We have only a 2.5% tariff on imported steel. That 2.5% is usually not paid.

So, who benefits from this set-up. It's certainly not the U.S. So, Trump raising the tariff to 30% is only playing a game. It's making it so there is an equal tariff both ways. It gives U.S. steelmakers an equal opportunity to sell steel abroad.

Plus, what can it hurt? If those other country's don't want high tariffs, they can easily call Trump. They can make a deal. That deal can call for a reduction of tariffs on both sides. Perhaps steel tariffs can be reduced to 10% both ways. That would be fair.

So, this idea that Trump is setting the U.S. up for a trade war is poppycock. It has been going on for a long time.

Saturday, June 30, 2018

Fake News: Here Some Examples

It's time to combat fake news. What is fake news? To me, it's when reporters put their opinions in articles. Or, it's when they are flat out false in their reporting. Or it's when they don't report both sides. I am going to make an ongoing list here of examples.

Here's an article from the Associated Press.
  • WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump tried to cast doubt Friday on wrenching tales of migrant children separated from their families at the border, dismissing “phony stories of sadness and grief” while asserting the real victims of the nation’s immigration crisis are Americans killed by those who cross the border unlawfully.
Okay, fine so far. But, then the "reporter" starts to editorialize. 
Bombarded with criticism condemning the family-separation situation as a national moment of shame, Trump came back firing, sometimes twisting facts and changing his story but nonetheless highlighting the genuine grief of families on the other side of the equation.
This is supposed to be a news story. But, it's not. It's an editorial. It belongs on the editorial page. The "reporter" put in her opinion. That's not news. That's opinion.

That's bad journalism. Journalists are supposed to report the facts. They are not supposed to put their opinions in articles. So, bias? Well, I'm thinking more like bad journalism.

I'm going to make this an ongoing theme on this blog. From time to time, as I run across fake news, I will post it here with a pithy explanation why it's fake. Well, I doubt I'll have to look too hard.

Monday, June 25, 2018

More Fake News from the AP

So, I opened up my chrome book. And clicked on the Drudge Report. And decided to read a story headlined, "Trump Summer Hotstreak."

Of course, that's the Drudge Report Headline. The article was another AP article. The article on the actual story was similar and fair. So, the headline is good.

So, I start reading the article. It talks about all the good things happening to Trump this summer. It takes the spotlight off other things that were happening, such as images of kids being taken from their parents at the border.

Then it goes haywire. It quotes Trump taking credit for the economic recovery. Trump credits his tax cut. Then, the AP fake journalist says this:
He called recent growth an “economic miracle,” though there’s credit to be shared: Lower unemployment, fewer claims for jobless benefits and many other positive economic indicators reflect the slow and steady nine-year recovery that began under President Barack Obama.
Um... really? Regardless of whether this is true (and I think it's not, but it doesn't matter), this has no place in this article. It's about Donald Trump's lucky streak. This journalist doesn't like it. So, he tried to spin it off as -- "um, Obama has something to do with this too."

Really! Like, let's talk about fake news. Again, a journalist conflates journalism and editorialist.

Saturday, January 27, 2018

Will republicans block cures for diseases like COPD?

Your question: With cuts to health care. Current congressional deregulation cuts to the EPA our air quality will be impacted. Plus their desire to dismantle Medicare and Medicaid along with the recent tax cuts, and more cuts to education, research funding will slowly dry up. We must pay attention and remind our Congress, they were elected to serve the people, not to legislate our lives out of existence.

To set the stage, this was a response to my post, "Why is there no cure for COPD?"

My answer. Says who? I'm assuming you're referring to Republicans. So, you actually think Republicans don't want a cure for COPD? You actually think that? You actually think they want poor air quality? I'm a Republican. I support the tax cuts and regulation cuts. And I want a cure for COPD and good air quality.

But, the difference between me and a Democrat is I think people are smart.  I believe in the power of the individual. I believe people, left to their own devices, are far more capable of solving problems than the government.

And I think the facts, and history, support my claim here.

First off, it's not the job of government to solve people's problems anyway, but that's beside the point. It's the role of government to create an economic environment in which we, as individuals, may prosper -- if we so make the effort. When we prosper, we have discretionary income. This is where charitable giving comes from. We, as Americans, are the most giving people in the world.

But, when you take our money from us via taxes. When you create so many regulations that there's no incentive to open businesses. You stifle the economy. You prevent economic growth.

Let me give you a good historical example to make my point. To assume the government has all the answers is to assume the people are too stupid to solve their own problems. You're assuming the people running government knows what the hell they are doing. And, quite frankly, I'm not always so impressed.

If you really want to raise money for investing in cures, the solution is with the people, not the government. Look at the war on poverty as a perfect example. That's been going on for over 40 years now, and there are just as many people in poverty today as when it started -- if not more. So, did the government succeed at solving poverty? How many billions of dollars have gone to anti-poverty programs? Lots. And the government failed to end poverty. So, what makes you think the government can find a cure for COPD?

When you have government solving problems, money gets tied up in loop holes. It gets tied up in the bureaucracy. You might raise a million dollars (or, rather, take it from people through higher taxes), but much of that money is wasted.

You look at any government project, and it takes twice as long and costs twice as much as when private individuals do it. This is because of all the red tape, all the bureaucrats who want a piece of the pie. Plus, it's not their money, so they aren't as careful with it.

You want something done right, you want to truly find a cure for COPD, leave it in the hands of individuals. Let them keep their money. Let them spend it on what they want.

Look at the 1980s as an example. Taxes were cut, regulations slashed, and a record amount of dollars went to charitable giving.

Another great example is Grover Cleveland's veto of the Texas seed bill.

Sure, the government has access to lots of money. But, it's our money, not theirs. And they have a poor track record of accomplishing anything with it. The people actually have a good track record, when they get to keep more of what they make. So, who do you think is more likely to find a cure for any disease?

Saturday, January 20, 2018

Arrogant Condescention

So, occasionally I decide to put a post on Facebook about politics. I don't do this to irritate Democrats. I don't do it to tick off liberals. I do it to educate young people. I do it because if you don't teach the importance of capitalism, socialism is the natural default.

Okay? That's why I do it.

The founders of this country knew what existed before them. They knew that 99% of people in the world lived under totalitarian dictator type governments. They lived under kings and queens or totalitarian thugs. They were denied their natural rights.

The founders changed all that. They made it so anyone born in America would not be denied these rights. This is the main reason the founders thought it was so important to educate young kids. And so this was done until about 1960-1980-ish when the government pretty much took over education in the U.S.

So, now liberals basically control what our kids learn. They don't teach about American Excpetionalism anymore. I mean, some teachers probably do. But, it's the exception today more so than the rule.

Essentially, if you don't teach American Exceptionalism, socialism is the natural default. If you don't teach conservatism, liberalism is the natural result. That's why so many people now accept socialism. They accept it even though we fought two world wars to prevent it's spread.

I don't expect lots of likes on my political posts. I don't expect it. I never get any. That's fine. But, what I do get, from time to time, is a ticked off liberal. They get so mad that I share my opinion. Most of the time they don't say anything, but occasionally they share their hatred of my opinion.

So, basically, my job as a parent is to educate.  I am a God fearing conservative. So, naturally, I want my kids to become God-fearing conservatives. So, it only makes sense that my kids are taught about God and conservative principles in school.

Why? Well, I think, as a parent, I should have a say in what my kids are taught. I don't think some nut head in Washington should be allowed to tell my kids things I don't agree with.

For example, I don't want my kids learning that global warming is a fact. They can learn about it, they can be educated about it. Sure, I'm fine with that. But I don't want my kids coming home telling me the world is overpopulated. And it's because of global warming.

That's the kind of BS I hate about our public schools. They should be training kids to think, not telling them what to think.

So, to combat this, I put an occasional post on my Facebook page. I'm not a fan of memes. Mostly, I just put videos or quotes that tell the truth about America and its founding. It may about the economy. It may be the truth about tax cuts, or the true story of Thanksgiving. You know, stuff like that.

But I get lots of hate from my Democrat friends. Now, we are still friends. Political differences have never gotten in the way of friendships, at least not in my world. We bicker about it, but then we hug and drink a beer. Okay? So, it's not like political fighting is going to ruin friendships.

Still, I find that my liberal friends can't handle to learn. It's like, I teach and they get really irritated with me. It's like, I offer facts. I have all the facts on my side. But, still, it doesn't matter with them. They talk down to me in an arrogant and condescending matter, like I'm stupid.

There is a term for this. It's called Arrogant condescention. They talk as though they are annoyed that you could be so stupid. They talk down to you

They are always right no matter what. I am always wrong no matter what. It doesn't matter what facts I present. They don't even bother listening to the facts. They just get mad. Their attempt is to make me feel guilty so I shut up and quit posting.

But, all along, they do it themselves. They post on their Facebook pages whatever they want. They post about how stupid conservatives are; how naive they are. And I'm supposed to just like it. And if I disagree, I'm refusing to accept change; I'm an idiot; I'm a racist; I'm a homophobe; I'm backwoods.

So, I present facts to my kids. I present facts on my Facebook page. I mean, it's my Facebook page. It's my home. I can put anything on it I want. If you don't like it, just ignore it. Or, you can do what some of my friends have done, just unfollow me. I mean, it's that easy.

But, they don't. They continue to follow me. And when they disagree with what I post, they write hate messages. It doesn't matter how truthful I am. Why? Because they don't care about the truth.

Greg Gutfeld explained the differences between conservatives and liberals to a tee. I thought it was a very good video. So, I posted it on my Facebook page. My liberal friends did not care what Gutfeld said. They weren't attempting to learn from what Gutfeld said. Gutfeld was just the latest figure that they attempt to disagree with.

Okay? They don't even care about being properly informed. The only thing they care about is will liberalism succeed. If anyone gets in the way, they can't stand it. That's why they hate Trump so much. That's why they hate it when I post the stuff I do.

Again, I don't post this stuff to irritate them.  I don't even make a habit of posting about politics. Still, I have the right to do so. They have a right to block me. I'm fine with it.

You know, I would love to get into an intelligent discussion on politics. I'm open to doing it on my Facebook page, that's fine. If only my liberal friends -- and not all of them either, just a select few -- could quit being offended by the truth. If only they could quit being offended by hearing opposing viewpoints.

For crying out loud.

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

Who's smart and who's not

There's a lot of talks lately about the intelligence of Donald Trump. People are making fun of him calling himself a genius. These are the same people who thought Obama was a genius. So, this raises the question: who's smart and who's not smart. Allow me to pose some side-by-side A-B comparisons and let you decide.

So, you have two presidents. One creates a bunch of regulations that burden the economy. He is the only president ever to not see one period of 3% economic growth. We saw a record number of people give up looking for work. We saw a record number of people applying for food stamps. Wages were stagnant during his tenure. And he said this is how it will before now on. That the days of America being an economic superpower are done. That this is the new normal. Consumer confidence plummets.

Then the other president undoes the policies of the former. He cuts regulations to get them out of the way. And the economy prospers. In less than a year the economy he presides over an economy running at a 3% clip. The economy is actually growing at twice the rate his predecessor's economy did. Unemployment is declining, and black unemployment is at a record low. Consumer confidence is at an all-time high.

So, who's smart and who's not smart.

One president intervenes in Iraq. He sets the stage for them to get nuclear weapons. And not one person in his cabinet steps in and says, "Hey! This is crazy! These guys harbor terrorists." Instead, they say things like, "Hey, no one said America couldn't have these weapons. Whose to say Iraq can't!" This strategy also creates a breeding ground for the growth of radical terrorist groups like ISIS. We are told by this president that this is the new normal. Americans feel unsafe.

The other president comes in and reverses the strategy of his predecessor. He says he will not allow them to get a nuclear weapon. This is important because they have an unstable leader and who knows what they will do with that power. Plus, within less than a year ISIS is all but decimated as a threat. Americans feel safer

So, who's smart and who's not smart?

You have one president who says it is what it is and there's nothing you can do to change it. Then the other says he doesn't accept the status quo. He sets out on a mission to change it. And he does. And he makes it better.

So, who's smart and who's not smart.

You see, this is the kind of stuff we have to deal with. You have people who are not smart making important decisions.